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Dr Hayley Fowler Dr Hayley Fowler

Hayley Fowler is Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) Research Fellow in the School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences at Newcastle University, where she has worked since 2001. She is a hydro-climatologist and looks at the effects of global warming and natural climate variability on water resource system reliability, particularly floods and droughts. She has a particular interest in recent changes in extreme weather and whether they are caused by global warming. Her work has concentrated in the UK and Europe, but she has recently started work looking at the impacts of global warming on water availability in the Himalayas and the effects on glaciers.

She has published over 25 papers in international journals and conference proceedings and is Honorary Secretary of the British Hydrological Society. She leads the Newcastle involvement in several EU funded projects looking at new ways of assessing future climate change impacts, and is involved in several UK Research Council and Environment Agency funded projects, producing tools that stakeholders in the UK can use to easily assess the likelihood and size of potential climate change impacts upon their industry.

Hayley Fowler is on the panel of the Water Resources and the Future session of Development, Sustainability and Environment 3 in March 2007.

Click here for Hayley's Homepage

Research Interests

  • Modelling and analysis of both current and future hydrological extremes in rainfall causing droughts and floods
  • Impacts of climate variability and change on the sustainable use of water and its related activities in Europe
  • Evidence of climatic variability and change in temperature and precipitation data outside the European region, and changing trends over time
  • Accounting for uncertainty due to natural variability and error due to incomplete knowledge of future conditions

  • Sample Publications

    C.G. Kilsby, P.D. Jones, A. Burton, A.C. Ford, H.J. Fowler, C. Harpham, P. James, A. Smith, R.L. Wilby. A daily weather generator for use in climate change studies. Environmental Modelling and Software, in press 2007.

    Blenkinsop, S. and Fowler, H.J. Changes in drought characteristics for Europe projected by the PRUDENCE regional climate models. International Journal of Climatology, in press 2007.

    Bürger, C.M., Kolditz, O., Fowler, H.J., and Blenkinsop, S. Future climate scenarios and rainfall-runoff modelling in the Upper Gallego catchment (Spain). Environmental Pollution, in press 2007.

    Kilsby, C.G., Tellier, S.S., Fowler, H.J. and Howels, T.R. Hydrological impacts of climate change on the Tejo and Guadiana rivers. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, in press 2007.

    Ekström, M., Jones, P.D., Fowler, H.J., Lenderink, G., Buishand, A. and Conway, D. Regional climate model data used within the SWURVE project. 1: Projected changes in seasonal patterns and estimation of PET. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, in press 2007.

    Gerzabek, M.H., Barceló, D., Bellin, A., Rijnaarts, H.H.M., van Veen, J., Darmendrail, D., Fowler, H.J., Négrel, P., Frank, E., Grathwohl, P., Kuntz, D., Barth, J.A.C. The Integrated Project AquaTerra in the EU Sixth Framework Programme. Journal of Environmental Management, in press 2007.

    Fowler, H.J. and Kilsby, C.G. Using regional climate model data to simulate historical and future river flows in northwest England. Climatic Change 2007, 80(3-4), 337-367.

    Barth, J.A.C., Freitag, H., Fowler, H.J., Karim, A., Ingle, C., McPhail, C., Smith, A.P. Water and Carbon Balance of the Clyde Watershed (Scotland): a stable isotope study on a European Precipitation and Vegetation Cover Extreme. Applied Geochemistry, in press 2007.

    Fowler, H.J., Blenkinsop, S., Smith, A.P., Ekstrom, M. and Kilsby, C.G. Can Regional Climate Models reproduce the historic magnitude and frequency of severe UK extreme rainfall events, and how will this change under global warming?. In: Proceedings of the British Hydrological Society 9th National Hydrology Symposium 2006, Durham Fowler, H.J. and Archer, D.R. Conflicting signals of climatic change in the Upper Indus Basin. Journal of Climate 2006, 19(17), 4276-4293.

    Fowler, H.J. and Archer, D.R. Hydro-climatological variability in the Upper Indus Basin and implications for water resources. In: Wagener, T. et al. (Eds.) Regional Hydrological Impacts of Climatic Change - Impact Assessment and Decision Making, IAHS Publication 295, pp. 131-138 2005.

    Fowler, H.J., Kilsby, C.G. and Stunell, J. Modelling the impacts of projected future climate change on water resources in northwest England. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, in press 2005. Fowler, H.J., Ekström, M., Kilsby, C.G. and Jones, P.D. New estimates of future changes in extreme rainfall across the UK using regional climate model integrations. 1: Assessment of control climate. Journal of Hydrology, 300(1-4), 212-233 2005.

    Ekström, M., Fowler, H.J., Kilsby, C.G. and Jones, P.D. New estimates of future changes in extreme rainfall across the UK using regional climate model integrations. 2. Future estimates and use in impact studies. Journal of Hydrology, 300(1-4), 234-251 2005.

    Archer, D.R. and Fowler, H.J. Spatial and temporal variations in precipitation in the Upper Indus Basin, global teleconnections and hydrological implications. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 8(1), 47-61 2004. Fowler, H.J., Kilsby, C.G., and O'Connell, P.E. Modeling the impacts of climatic change and variability on the reliability, resilience and vulnerability of a water resource system. Water Resources Research, 39(8), 1222, doi:10.1029/2002WR001778 2003.

    Fowler, H.J. and Kilsby, C.G. A regional frequency analysis of United Kingdom extreme rainfall from 1961 to 2000. Int. J. Climatol., 23(11), 1313-1334 2003.

    Fowler, H.J. and Kilsby, C.G. Implications of changes in seasonal and annual extreme rainfall. Geophys. Res. Lett. Vol. 30, No. 13, 1720 10.1029/2003GL017327 2003.

    Fowler, H.J. and Kilsby, C.G. A weather-type approach to analysing water resource drought in the Yorkshire region from 1881 to 1998. J. Hydrol., 262, 177-192 2002.

    Fowler, H.J. and Kilsby, C.G. Precipitation and the North Atlantic Oscillation: A study of climatic variability in Northern England. Int. J. Climatol., 22, 843-866 2002.

    Fowler, H.J., Kilsby, C.G., and O'Connell, P.E. A stochastic rainfall model for the assessment of regional water resource systems under changed climatic conditions. Hydrol. Earth Sys. Sci., 4, 261-280 2000.

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